Why there aren't more New Urbanist developments
A while back, the Austin Contrarian asked why there aren't more New Urbanist mixed-use developments. He articulates several possible barriers and potential solutions, but I wanted to pass along my own theory I posted in the comments.Labels: mixed-use
From his link:
Big boxes serve most of our retail needs very well: groceries + hardware (Lowe's or Home Depot) + misc stuff (Wal-Mart or Target). Many other retail needs fall in the "errand" category - done from the car while going to/from somewhere else, like work: banking, dry cleaning, Starbucks, etc. So start by taking most of that slice of shopping away from new urbanism in a historically car-based city. Here's the problem with supporting NU/mixed-use developments with "the rest" of our retail needs:Stores need a pretty high volume of customer traffic to be viable. Foot traffic from a few stories of apartments or condos on top are nowhere near enough, so that means people have to be drawn there in a car from the surrounding city. Little or no frontside parking means people have to park a bit farther away and walk (like maybe a backside garage). People are only going to do that if there are a variety of stores/restaurants they are interested in after they get out of their car (if they're only going to one specific place, a strip mall or "lifestyle center" is far more convenient). That is essentially the definition of a "mall" - a collection of retail compelling enough people are willing to park at some inconvenience and walk around for a while.
To succeed, these developments essentially must become an open-air mall with apartments/condos on top (think of the Sugar Land and Woodlands town centers). That's fine, but realistically, a city can only support one mall every few square miles - putting a pretty low limit on how much new urbanist development a city can support. That, and, of course, in any existing city, those malls already exist somewhere, and so a new development must displace an existing one that already has critical mass and has probably cornered most of the premium retailers (how many Banana Republics can a city support? ;). Doable, and some clearly do it and succeed, but that doesn't mean it's not very challenging.
That, in a nutshell, sums up the major headwinds on more mixed-use new urbanist developments: they are essentially malls, there's a limit to how many a city can support, and they have to displace the existing entrenched retail districts/malls that are already there. Note that those headwinds come from the retail side. As he points out, clearly there is plenty of demand on the residential side - it's getting the matching retail to work that's tricky.